Quote: Originally Posted by Loora
You do realize that you do not need the new hardware to develop for a new console ? Devkits are usually sent out approx. 6 months prior to launch to most developers. 1st party studios and technology (middleware) companies receive early hardware revisions (often in the form of a pc "addon card/box") a little bit earlier than that but for the most part of the early development cycle you develop for pc using more or less finalized specs for the new hardware. And when you do get the 1st devkits you port everything over, pray that you do not run into development problems and can get it done in time for the console launch.
Use a little common sense instead of heresay and wishfull (fanboyish) thinking. Documents like the one referenced here are always treated highly confidential and are almost always signed and/or encrypted.
Anyway, believe what you want to believe. I am not forcing you to agree with me.
Just think about one small thing: Why on earth, considering current and predicted sales, would Microsoft (or Sony) want to release new hardware anytime soon ? There is absolutely no reason to do so and it makes no sense at all to release new hardware when your sales of the current model are as good as they are for the 360.
Yes that is correct. However development for launch titles bar a few do not last very long, as it's very rare for third party developers to pump to much money into development due to the risk factor of potentially funding a platform that could be dead in years time.
look previous consoles. PS2 sales where still selling very strongly, in most cases console are doing strongly when new one is about to come out. As what you've got to remember is the ones driving sales now are not the ones who drove the sales at the start those ones (ones who waited in line at up at launch) are ready for new consoles. The ones buying console now are ones in most cases who have waited rather than rushed to stores. Secondly It's only smart to rely on strong business to support and gradually move to fully support your next platform.
Use your common sense and look at the past. Leaks in gaming industry happen all the time hell look more broadly at tech industry and well there is leaks all the time.
I will ask you again what do you think those 60% developers are going to develop games for ? After 2013 you've got smaller studios from the third parties developing games for console just like for Ps2.
Now the other thing is the reason MS have claimed to take the document down. There claim was based on copy right then there diversion from the normal comment
“Today, there has never been a better time to own an Xbox 360 console. We have found new ways to extend the console lifecycle by introducing controller-free experiences with Kinect and we’ve re-invented the console with a new dashboard and new entertainment content partnerships. We are continually thinking about the future of the platform and when we have something to share, we will.”
Now yes your right on one thing this is assumptions, however based on past events and obvious things that lead to the obvious assumptions. So far everything points to document being real and next gen starting in 2013/2014.
Now finally I would like outline that in most cases as shown directly in the document that things will change this is no doubt a very rough document with price estimate and technical details nearly certain have changed by now.